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The Impact of AI on Macroeconomy, Growth, and Financial Stability
Jason Furman and Tobias Adrian
Abstract: Mr. Tobias Adrian believes that AI has brought positive changes to the financial sector—algorithmbased financial transactions have increased market efficiency and reduced financing costs across sectors; using AI to improve credit allocation enhances financial inclusiveness. Theoretically, with the emergence of general AI in the future, the financial sector may also achieve autonomous decision-making by machines. However, from the perspective of financial stability,...
10.28.2024
China-US Relations, Industrial Policy and Overcapacity
C. Fred Bergsten and Yu Yongding
Abstract: Regarding China-US relations, Dr. Bergsten argues that a managed competitive cooperation and a functional decoupling strategy are the only ways to constructively manage bilateral relations, emphasizing the need to set out different groups of issues. The two countries can continue to seek new topics within the global economic agenda where rules have yet to be established and collaboratively develop new regulations. Among the new U.S. presidential candidates, Harris i...
10.28.2024
US Presidential Election and Future of China-US Economic Relations
Robert Rubin and Huang Yiping
Abstract: Regarding the U.S. economic outlook and Federal Reserve monetary policy, Mr. Robert Rubin believed that while the U.S. economy continues to grow, its pace has slowed, and a recession is unlikely. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with future policies to be determined based on subsequent data. Rubin also noted that the U.S. faces serious fiscal challenges, but its strong economy provides the capacity to m...
10.28.2024
Interview with Former ADB President Takehiko Nakao: Japan's Monetary Policy, Economic Outlook, and Ishiba's Government
Bund Summit: Thank you very much for joining us today, Mr. Nakao. This interview is going to focus on the Japanese economy; we will also touch on the world economy (including the Chinese economy) and global governance, which is your field of expertise. Let's start with the Japanese economy. Taking a look back, what do you think were the background information or judgment of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) that led it to deliver a rate hike in July? Mr. Nakao: The basic idea is that t...
10.16.2024
Interview with Donald Kohn: The Fed's Next Steps After the Rate Cutting Cycle Begins
Bund Summit Interview with Dr. Kohn: Transcript for Review Dr. Guo: Good to have you here with us this afternoon. Dr. Kohn: It's good to be here. Thank you for inviting me and including me in this wonderful Summit. Dr. Guo: How do you feel about the Summit so far? And Shanghai in general? Dr. Kohn: I unfortunately haven't seen much of Shanghai. I've seen some, though, and it's a very vibrant and alive city, very impressive. I think it's been 20 years since I was last here. Pu...
10.09.2024
A Five-Dimensional Evaluation System for the Effectiveness of Industrial Policies in Support of Innovation
Fang Hanting
Abstract: The effectiveness of industrial policies in support of innovation is usually evaluated in five dimensions. First, the industry creation dimension evaluates the effectiveness of innovative industrial policies in creating new industries according to the scale and quality of future industry generation. Second, the industry growth dimension evaluates whether industrial policies have accelerated the growth of emerging industries and strategic emerging industries, making ...
09.26.2024
Industrial Policies in Support of Innovation: Principles, Practices, and Prospects
Jia Jingdun
Abstract: From the perspective of economic principles, the government’s support of innovative enterprises in the form of industrial policies can help them reduce innovation risks. China's policy system in support of enterprise innovation roughly involves fiscal policies, tax policies, financial policies, and supporting policies at the local level, etc. All these policies have developed into inclusive policies and have overall remarkable effects. They were usually introduced d...
09.26.2024
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