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Navigating Weak Demand and Low Inflation: Lessons from the US, Japan and Europe

ZHANG Bin, ZHU He, SHENG Zhongming, ZHANG Jiajia

CF40 Macroeconomic Policy Report Q2 2023 08.17.2023

Inflation: This Time is Different

Author：Zhang Bin, Zhu He, Zhong Yi, and Sun Zihan

CF40 Macroeconomic Policy Report Q1 2023 05.06.2023

China's Countercyclical Fiscal Policy and Sustainability of Government Debt

Author：ZAHNG Bin, ZHU He, SHENG Zhongming, ZHANG Jiajia

Abstract: China has never heavily relied on budgetary spending to provide counter-cyclical stimulus. Instead, it mainly adopts a model where local governments, financial institutions and local government financing vehicles work together to boost investment. Statistics show that such a model has helped China stabilize its economic growth, but also increased the broad government ... 02.22.2023

Accommodative Monetary Policy: Pros and Cons

ZHANG Bin, ZHU He, YANG Yuemin, ZHU Xiuye and SUN Zihan

Despite pandemic shocks and weakening expectations, policy rate cuts can still significantly improve the cash flows of households, businesses and the government, thereby increasing total expenditure. Policy rate cuts as appropriate have vitalized the Chinese economy, fundamentally supported the Renminbi and curbed capital flow volatility. 11.08.2022

The Mid- and Long-Term Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic

ZHANG Bin, ZHU He, SUN Zihan and ZHANG Jiajia

In the second half of the year, the Chinese economy will continue to face multiple challenges, including pandemic-induced uncertainties, weakening of consumption, enlarging revenue-expenditure gap of local governments, possibilities of new risk events, and geopolitical conflicts. Against this backdrop, while it remains a priority to implement targets and tools that could boost demand to achieve a decent annual growth, policies addressing structural problems would also be esse... 07.29.2022

China’s Real Estate Market: Toward A New Landscape

ZHANG Bin, CF40 Senior Fellow, and ZHU He, ZHONG Yi, SHENG Zhongming and SUN Zihan at CF40 Research Department

This is the 1st episode of CF40’s Quarterly Macroeconomic Policy Report series in 2022. The Chinese version was released on April 23, 2022. 05.09.2022

Chinese Economy in 2022: How to Achieve a Reasonable Growth Target

ZHANG Bin, CF40 Senior Fellow, and ZHU He, SHENG Zhongming and SUN Zihan at CF40 Research Department

This is the 4th episode of CF40's Quarterly Macroeconomic Policy Report series in 2021. The Chinese version was released on January 24, 2022. 02.14.2022

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